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\begin{document}
\begin{center}
{\Large {\bf Pebbling a chessboard}} \\
\vspace{\baselineskip}
{\em Fan Chung} \\
\vspace{0.25\baselineskip}
Bell Communications Research \\
Morristown, New Jersey 07960 \\
e-mail:~~frkc@bellcore.com \\
\vspace{\baselineskip}
{\em Ron Graham} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~rlg@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1\baselineskip}
{\em John Morrison} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~jam@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1\baselineskip}
{\em Andrew Odlyzko} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~amo@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1.5\baselineskip}
{\bf ABSTRACT} \\
\vspace{1.5\baselineskip}
\end{center}
\setlength{\baselineskip}{1.5\baselineskip}
\hspace*{.25in}
This note studies a pebbling problem introduced by M. Kontsevich.
One starts with an infinite chessboard covering the first quadrant,
with a single pebble located in the extreme lower left cell.
Moves consist of replacing a pebble in cell $(i,j)$ by two pebbles in cells $(i+1,j)$ and $(i,j+1)$, provided neither of those positions
is occupied.
It is shown how to determine which configurations are
reachable, and asymptotics of the number of reachable configurations
are determined.
\clearpage
\large\normalsize
\renewcommand{\baselinestretch}{1}
\thispagestyle{empty}
\setcounter{page}{1}
\begin{center}
{\Large {\bf Pebbling a chessboard}} \\
\vspace{\baselineskip}
{\em Fan Chung} \\
\vspace{0.25\baselineskip}
Bell Communications Research \\
Morristown, New Jersey 07960 \\
\vspace{\baselineskip}
{\em Ron Graham} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~rlg@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1\baselineskip}
{\em John Morrison} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~jam@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1\baselineskip}
{\em Andrew Odlyzko} \\
\vspace{.25\baselineskip}
AT\&T Bell Laboratories \\
Murray Hill, New Jersey 07974 \\
e-mail:~~amo@research.att.com \\
\vspace{1.5\baselineskip}
\end{center}
\setlength{\baselineskip}{1.5\baselineskip}
\section{Introduction}
\hsp
The following puzzle has attracted some attention recently.
We first learned of it through Martin Gardner \cite{G92}.
A version of it appeared in Omni magazine in 1993 \cite{Morris}.
However, it was proposed over 10 years ago by Kontsevich \cite{K}, and a partial
analysis of it was published shortly thereafter by Khodulev \cite{Kh}.
We begin with an infinite ``chessboard'' $B$ covering the first
quadrant.
The cells of the board are labelled by integer coordinates
$(i,j)$ with $i,j \ge 0$.
Initially, a single ``pebble'' is located in cell $(0,0)$
(the lower left corner;
see Figure~1).
\begin{figure}[htb]
\centerline{\psfig{file=ch1.ps,width=1.5in}}
\caption{The starting configuration on the board $B$.}
\end{figure}
The first step or ``move'' consists of replacing this pebble by two pebbles,
located at cells $(1,0)$ and $(0,1)$, respectively.
In general, a move will consist of removing some pebble,
say in cell $(i,j)$, and placing {\em two} pebbles on the board,
in positions $(i+1,j)$ and $(i,j+1)$,
{\em provided each of these positions is not already occupied}.

After $k$ steps the board will have $k+1$ pebbles on it.
We call such configurations of pebbles {\em reachable configurations}.
We will denote by $R(k)$ the set of reachable
configurations with $k$ pebbles,
and we set $R := \bigcup\limits_{k \ge 1} R(k)$.
In Figure~2, we show the eight possible reachable configurations
with at most four pebbles.
\begin{figure}[htb]
\centerline{\psfig{file=ch2.ps,width=3.5in}}
\caption{Reachable configurations with at most four pebbles.}
\end{figure}

A little experimentation convinces one that in any reachable
configuration, some pebble must occupy a cell having
coordinates $(i,j)$ with $i+j \le 3$.
This fact first seems to have been noted by
M. Kontsevich~\cite{K}.
We give the ``book'' proof of this in the next section.
If $L(k)$ denotes the set (or ``level'')
$\{ (i,j) :~ i+j = k \}$ then we can express the above assertion
by saying that $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$ is {\em unavoidable}, i.e.,
any reachable configuration must always have some pebble
in a cell in $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$.
In general, an unavoidable set is one which intersects every
reachable configuration.
Of course if $S$ is unavoidable and $T \supseteq S$ then $T$ is
unavoidable.
Let us call $S$ a {\em minimal unavoidable} set if $S$ is
unavoidable but no proper subset of $S$ is, and let $M(k)$ denote
the family of minimal unavoidable sets with $k$ cells.

In this note we will characterize the elements of $M(k)$ and give
a polynomial time algorithm for recognizing such elements.
Many of these results were first proved by Khodulev \cite{Kh},
and we present them here for completeness, since the paper \cite{Kh} is not widely available
and contains only sketches of proofs.
We will also determine the asymptotic growth rates of
$r(k) := |R(k)|$ and $m(k) := |M(k)|$, the sizes of $R(k)$ and $M(k)$,
respectively, as $k \to \In$.
(These results are all new.)
It turns out that the analysis of $r(k)$ and $m(k)$ leads to some interesting problems in asymptotic enumeration.

Further results on this problem, including generalizations to arbitrary partially ordered sets,
have recently been obtained by Eriksson \cite{Erik}.

\section{Properties of unavoidable sets}
\begin{lemma}
\label{lem1}
{\rm \cite{K}}
The set $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$ of all $(i,j)$ with $i+j \le 3$ is unavoidable.
\end{lemma}

\pf
To each cell $(i,j)$ assign the {\em weight}
$2^{-(i+j)}$.
Observe that:
\begin{itemize}
\item[(i)]
The total weight covered by pebbles in any reachable
configuration is 1.
This is so since the starting cell $(0,0)$ has weight 1,
and a move does not change the weight of cells covered, i.e.,
$$2^{-(i+j)} = 2^{- ((i+1)+j)} + 2^{-(i+(j+1))}~.$$
\item[(ii)]
The total weight of {\em all} cells in the board is
$\sum_{i,j \ge 0} 2^{- (i+j)} =4$.
\item[(iii)]
The total weight of $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$ is 13/4.
Thus, the weight of the {\em complement} of $L(3)$ is only 3/4,
and since that is less than 1,
cannot contain all the pebbles of a reachable configuration.
Thus, $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$ is unavoidable. \hfill $\blacksquare$
\end{itemize}

However, $L(1) \cup L(2) \cup L(3)$ is not a minimal unavoidable set.
The following result was proved by Khodulev \cite{Kh}.
It was independently conjectured by Martin Gardner \cite{G92}.
The proof given here is due to Harold Reiter \cite{R92}.

\begin{lemma}
\label{lem2}
$L(1) \cup L(2)$ is unavoidable.
\end{lemma}

\pf
As before, assign the weight $2^{-(i+j)}$ to the cell $(i,j)$.
Observe now that any reachable configuration $C$
has exactly one
pebble on each of the boundaries
$\{ (i,0) :~ i \ge 0 \}$ and
$\{ (0,j) :~ j \ge 0 \}$.
Thus, the total weight which $C$ can cover outside of $L(1) \cup L(2)$ is
$$2 \cdot 2^{-3} + \sum_{i,j \ge 1 \atop i+j \ge 3} 2^{-(i+j)} =1 ~.$$
This implies that if $C$ is to avoid $L(1) \cup L(2)$, it must
cover {\em all} these cells, which is
impossible since $C$ is finite. \hfill $\blacksquare$

However, $L(1) \cup L(2)$ is not minimal either, as we will see later.

We should observe that for any reachable configuration $C$,
the {\em set} of moves needed for reaching $C$ is unique.
Only the {\em order} in which these moves are executed can vary in the different ways of reaching $C$.

Suppose now that we relax the rules for moves by allowing the replacement
of a pebble at $(i,j)$ by pebbles at $(i+1,j)$ and $(i,j+1)$ even when these
positions might already be occupied by pebbles.
In other words, we allow the accumulation of multiple
pebbles in cells during the process of reaching $C$.
It might be helpful for this model to imagine that the pebbles
first move onto the vertices of an infinite binary tree rooted
at $(0,0)$.
Then the $2^k$ vertices in the $k^{\rm th}$ level of the tree are identified
in the obvious way with the $k+1$ cells in the $k^{\rm th}$ level
$L(k) := \{ (i,j) :~ i+j =k \}$ of the board $B$.

An easy induction argument now establishes the following result.
\begin{lemma}
\label{lem3}
If a configuration of pebbles (with at most one pebble per cell) can be reached by moves which
{\bf allow} accumulations of pebbles in cells, then in fact it can
also be reached by the ``standard'' moves,
i.e., those which do {\bf not allow} accumulation.
\end{lemma}

Given a set $X \subset B$, we define the set $M(X)$ of moves
recursively as follows.
Starting at level 0 and proceeding one level at a time by increasing
levels,
perform the moves required either to remove {\em all}
pebbles from a cell in $X$, or to remove all but at most one of the pebbles
from a cell not in $X$.
Continue through the last level $L(h(X))$ containing a cell of $X$.

\begin{theorem}
\label{the1}
$X \subset B$ is unavoidable if and only if after executing the moves in $M(X)$,
some cell contains at least 3 pebbles.
\end{theorem}

\pf
Let $m(i,j)$ denote the number of pebbles in cell $(i,j)$ after
executing $M(X)$.
\begin{itemize}
\item[(i)]
Suppose that $X$ is avoidable and $m(i,j) \ge 3$ for some $(i,j)$.
Thus, either $m(i-1, j+1) \ge 2$ or $m(i+1 , j-1) \ge 2$.
Assume $m(i-1, j+1) \ge 2$ (the other case is similar).
Hence, to reach {\em any} $C \in R$, we must move
at least two pebbles off of $(i,j)$, and at least one off of
$(i-1, j+1)$.
But this will force $(i,j+1)$ to have at least 3 pebbles, and will force
$(i, j+1)$ to have at least two.
Thus, by induction, we can {\em never} reach an allowable configuration
of pebbles (i.e., one in which no cell has more than one pebble), which
is a contradiction.
\item[(ii)]
Suppose $m(i,j) \le 2$ for all $(i,j) \in B$.
By the definition of $M(X)$,
$$
m(i,j) ~~\mbox{is}~~
\left\{
\begin{array}{l}
\le 1~~\mbox{if $(i,j)$ has level $\le h(X)$} \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
\le 2 ~~\mbox{if $(i,j)$ has level $h(X) +1$} \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
= 0 ~~\mbox{if $(i,j)$ has level $> h(X) +1$} ~.
\end{array}
\right.
$$
A simple induction argument now shows that the excess pebbles
can all be (eventually) moved to achieve a reachable
configuration in $R$.
Hence $X$ is avoidable.
\end{itemize}
This completes the proof of Theorem~\ref{the1}. \hfill $\blacksquare$

Note that this result furnishes a polynomial-time algorithm for determining if $X$ is a minimal unavoidable set.
\section{Recurrences for minimal unavoidable sets}
\hsp
Let $f(k)$ denote the number of minimal unavoidable sets consisting of $k$ cells.
For $j \ge 0$, define $B(j) = \bigcup\limits_{i > j} L(i)$, the
set of cells in levels exceeding $j$.
Finally, for $t \ge 0$, define $f_t (k)$ to be the number of
minimal unavoidable sets with $k$ cells (i.e., of size $k$)
in $B(t)$ where we start with the (multiple) pebble distribution
of $1, \overbrace{2,2, \dd ,2}^t , 1$ in $L (t+1)$, and 0 in all $L (s)$,
$s > t+1$.
As a convention, we take $f_t (k) =0$ for all $k \le 0$.
Thus, $f(k) = f_0 (k-1)$ (since $(0,0)$ must be unoccupied),
and
$f(k) =0$ for $k \le 4$.
We list a set of recurrences which suffice to determine
all values of $f_t (k)$:
\begin{itemize}
\item[(i)]
$f_0 (k) = 2 f_0 (k-1) + f_1 (k-2)$;
\item[(ii)]
$f_1 (k) = f_0 (k) + 3 f_1 (k-1) + f_2 (k-2) + 4 \delta (k,2)$
where
$$\delta (i,j) = \left\{
\begin{array}{ll}
1 & \mbox{if}~~ i=j ~, \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
0 & \mbox{otherwise}~;
\end{array}
\right.
$$
\item[(iii)]
For $t \ge 2$, $f_t (k) = f_{t-1} (k) +2 f_t (k-1) + f_{t+1} (k-2) + 2 \delta (k,1) \delta (t,2)$.
\end{itemize}

To see why these are valid, consider (i).
\begin{figure}[htb]
\centerline{\psfig{file=ch3.ps,width=6in}}

\hspace{.4in}${\rm (a)} \atop f_0 (k)$
\hspace{1.2in}${\rm (b)} \atop f_0 (k-1)$
\hspace{1.35in}${\rm (c)} \atop f_0 (k-1)$
\hspace{1.025in}${\rm (d)} \atop f_1 (k-2)$
\caption{}
\end{figure}
In Figure~3(a) we have the starting configuration for $f_0 (k)$.
We consider the various possibilities as to whether or not various cells in $L(1)$ are in a hypothetical minimal unavoidable
set $X$ of size $k$.
If $(1,0) \in X$ but $(0,1) \not\in X$ then Figure~3(b) applies and $X$ will
consist of $(1,0)$ together with a minimal unavoidable set of size $k-1$
arising from the two pebbles at $(2,0)$ and $(1,1)$.
By definition, there are $f_0 (k-1)$ of these.
The same argument applies if $(1,0) \not\in X$, $(0,1) \in X$
(Figure~3 (c)).
On the other hand, if $(0,1) \in X$ and $(1,0) \in X$ then
Figure~3(d) applies, and $f_1 (k-2)$ counts the number of
ways of completing $X$.
Thus, we have (i).

The other recurrences (ii) and (iii) are explained in similar ways.
In Table~1, we list some of the small values of $f_t (k)$.
\begin{table}[htb]
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{cc|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \\ \cline{3-13}
& 10 & 0 & 2 & 40 & 464 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 9 & 0 & 2 & 36 & 382 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 8 & 0 & 2 & 32 & 308 & 2322 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 7 & 0 & 2 & 28 & 242 & 1670 & 10114 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 6 & 0 & 2 & 24 & 184 & 1154 & 6466 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
$t$ & 5 & 0 & 2 & 20 & 134 & 758 & 3916 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 4 & 0 & 2 & 16 & 92 & 466 & 2216 & 10162 & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 3 & 0 & 2 & 12 & 58 & 262 & 1150 & 4972 & 21296 & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
& 2 & 0 & 2 & 8 & 32 & 130 & 534 & 2206 & 9136 & 37872 & ~ & ~ \\
& 1 & 0 & 0 & 4 & 14 & 54 & 216 & 876 & 3574 & 14628 & 59994 & ~ \\
& 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 4 & 22 & 98 & 412 & 1700 & 6974 & 28576 \\ \cline{3-13}
\multicolumn{13}{c}{~} \\ [-.1in]
& \multicolumn{1}{c}{~} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{0} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{1} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{2} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{3} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{4} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{5} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{6} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{7} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{8} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{9} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{10} \\
\multicolumn{13}{c}{~} \\
\multicolumn{2}{c}{~} &
\multicolumn{11}{c}{$k$}
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\caption{Values of $f_t (k)$.}
\end{table}
\section{Asymptotics of number of minimal unavoidable sets}
\hsp
The recurrences of the last section are sufficient to determine values of $f(k)$ for small $k$.
For large values of $k$, we can obtain asymptotics of $f(k)$ in
a simple form:
$$f(k) \sim c \gamma^{k-1} ~~~\mbox{as}~~~ k \to \In ~,$$
where $\gamma = 4.147899 \dd$ and $c=0.01676 \dd~$.
More precise estimates (including definitions of $\gamma$ and $c$) are stated at the end of this section.
Since $\gamma$ and $c$ are algebraic numbers of degree 3,
this estimate also shows that there is no simple expression for
$f(k)$.

The derivation of the asymptotic expansion of $f(k)$ starts with the recurrences of Section~3, and proceeds through two steps.
The first step is to derive an explicit expression
for the generating function of $f(k)$, and the second is to obtain the asymptotics of the coefficients of that function.
The second step is routine, and is sketched only briefly.
The first step is the interesting one, since it involves complicated-looking functional relations that
yield a surprising answer.

In order to analyze the asymptotic behavior of $f(k)$,
it is convenient to introduce several auxiliary
functions.
The definitions are not obvious,
and came from experimenting with the
recurrences to find out which functions give the
best results.
First, define the function $s( \cdot , \cdot )$ by
\beql{eq1}
s(i+j,j) := f_j (i) , ~~~ i,j \ge 0 ~.
\eeq
Next, define the generating function
\beql{eq2}
S_i (y) := \sum_{j=0}^i s(i,j) y^j ~.
\eeq
Thus, for example, $S_3 (y) = 4 y + 2y^2$. For $i \ge 3$,
recurrence (iii) of Section~3 is easily seen to be
equivalent to the relation
\beql{eq3}
S_{i+1} (y) = \frac{(1+y)^2}{y} S_i (y) - \frac{1}{y}
s(i,0) + ys (i,1) ~.
\eeq
Finally, set
\beql{eq4}
S(x,y) := \sum_{i \ge 3} S_i (y) x^i ~.
\eeq
Note that we are only interested in
\begin{eqnarray*}
\sum_{k=5}^\In f(k) x^{k-1} & = &
\sum_{k=5}^\In f_0 (k-1) x^{k-1} ~=~
\sum_{i=4}^\In s(i,0) x^i \\
& = & \sum_{i=4}^\In S_i (0) x^i ~=~ S(x,0) ~.
\end{eqnarray*}
The additional variable $y$ is brought in only
in order to exploit the structure of recurrences for the $f_t (k)$.
From \eqn{eq3} and (i), (ii), (iii) we obtain
\beql{eq5}
\begin{array}{rll}
S(x,y) & = & \ds_{i \ge 3} S_i (y) x^i \\
~~ \\
& = & x^3 (4y+2y^2) +
\df{x(1+y)^2}{y} \ds_{i \ge 3} S_i (y) x^i \\
~~ \\
& ~ & ~~~~-~ \df{x}{y} S(x,0) + xy
\left. \df{\partial S(x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0}~.
\end{array}
\eeq
Hence
\beql{eq6}
(y-x(1+y)^2)S(x,y)  = x^3 (4y^2 +2y^3) - xS(x,0)
+ xy^2 \left. \df{\partial S (x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0} ~.
\eeq
This is a complicated partial differential equation that
at first sight might seem intractable.
However, it can be solved explicitly.
Differentiating \eqn{eq6} with respect to $y$ and then setting $y=0$,
we have
\beql{eq7}
(1-2x) S(x,0) -x \left. \frac{\partial S (x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0} =0~.
\eeq
Therefore, we can eliminate $\left. \frac{\partial S (x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0}$ to obtain
\beql{eq8}
(y-x(1+y)^2)S(x,y) = (y^2 (1-2x)-x)
S(x,0) +x^3 (4y^2 +2y^3) ~.
\eeq
On the curve
\beql{eq9}
y = x(1+y)^2 ~,
\eeq
the coefficient of $S(x,y)$ in \eqn{eq8} vanishes and we have
\beql{eq10}
S(x,0) = x^3 (4y^2 + 2y^3) /
(x-y^2 (1-2x))~.
\eeq
Eq.~\eqn{eq9} implies that
$$y = (1-2x - (1-4x)^{1/2}) / (2x)$$
for $|x| < 1/4$, and substituting this into \eqn{eq10} gives an explicit
representation of $S(x,0)$ as an algebraic function
of $x$ for $|x| < 1/4$,
\beql{Neq11}
S(x,0) = x^2
\frac{(1-4x)^{1/2} (1-3x + x^2) - 1 + 5x - x^2 - 6x^3}{1-7x + 14 x^2 - 9x^3} ~.
\eeq
(Through \eqn{eq8} this also gives an explicit
representation of $S(x,y)$ for $(x,y)$ in a neighborhood of
$(0,0)$, but we do not need this, since $S(x,0)$ is all that is needed
to derive the asymptotics of $f(k)$.)

The final part of our analysis is now straightforward.
The explicit form of $S(x,0)$ shows that $S(x,0)$ is analytic
in $|x| < 1/4$ except at zeros of the denominator, i.e. at $x =1/ \gamma$,
where $\gamma = 4.14789903 \dd$ satisfies
\beql{eq11}
\gamma^3 - 7 \gamma^2 + 14 \gamma - 9 =0~.
\eeq
Direct substitution into the formula for $S(x,0)$ then shows
that $S(x,0)$ actually does have a simple pole at $x= 1/ \gamma$,
but (in view of the preceding discussion) no other singularities in $|x| < 1/4$.
By the standard methods \cite{Bender,BenW,GKP,Od}, we
can therefore write
$$
f(k) = f_0 (k-1) = s(k-1,0) = [x^{k-1}] S(x,0) = c \gamma^{k-1}
+ O( 4.01^k)~,
$$
where
\beql{eq12}
c = \lim_{x \to 1/\gamma} S(x,0) (1- \gamma x) = 0.016762198 \dd
\eeq
and satisfies (after some messy but routine computation best done with a symbolic algebra system)
\beql{eq13}
7533c^3 + 10726c^2 + 5068 c - 88 =0 ~.
\eeq
\section{The number of pebble configurations}
\hsp
In this section we will treat the problem of enumerating the number of
distinct reachable configurations with $k$ pebbles.
We denote this number by $g(k)$.
As was true for the asymptotics of $f(k)$, it is the derivation of an explicit generating function for the $g(k)$
that presents the main challenge here.

As before, let us define $g_t (k)$ to be the number of
$k$-pebble reachable configurations where we start with the initial
pebble distribution of $1, \overbrace{2,2, \dd ,2}^t ,1$ in
$L_{t+1}$,
and 0 in all $L_s$, $s > t+1$ (and we restrict ourselves to cells just in
$B(t) = \bigcup\limits_{s \ge t+1} L_s$).
Thus, $g(k) = g_0 (k)$ for $k \ge 2$.
Arguing along the same lines as before, it is not hard to derive the following
recurrences for the $g_t (k)$:
\begin{itemize}
\item[(i$'$)]
$g_0 (k) = 2 g_0 (k-1) + g_1 (k) + \delta (k,2)$;
\item[(ii$'$)]
$g_1 (k) = g_0 (k-3) + 2 g_1 (k-2) + g_2 (k-1) + g_1 (k-4)$;
\item[(iii$'$)]
For $t \ge 2$,
$$g_t (k) = g_{t-1} (k-t-2) + 2 g_t (k-t-1) + g_{t+1} (k-t) ~.$$
\end{itemize}
Now set
\beql{eq14}
\begin{array}{rll}
h_i (k) & := & g_i (k+i) ~, \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
H_i (x) & := & \dis\sum_{k=0}^\In h_i (k) x^k ~, \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
H(x,y) & := & \dis\sum_{i=0}^\In H_i (x) y^i ~.
\end{array}
\eeq
Some values of $h_t (k)$ are shown in Table~2.
Straightforward computation using \eqn{eq14}
and (i$'$), (ii$'$), (iii$'$) shows
\beql{eq15}
H(x,y) = x^2 +
\lt \frac{1}{y} + 2x + x^2 y \rt H(x,xy) -
\frac{1}{y} H(x,0) +x^4 y H_1 (x) ~.
\eeq
\begin{table}[htb]
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{cc|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\ 
~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ & ~ \\
$t$ & 2 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 2 \\
~ & 1 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 2 & 6 & 13 & 33 \\
~ & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 2 & 4 & 9 & 20 & 46 & 105 \\ \cline{3-11}
~ & \multicolumn{1}{c}{~} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{0} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{1} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{2} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{3} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{4} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{5} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{6} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{7} &
\multicolumn{1}{c}{8} \\
\multicolumn{11}{c}{~} \\ [-.1in]
~ & \multicolumn{1}{c}{~} & \multicolumn{9}{c}{$k$}
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\caption{Values of $h_t (k)$.}
\end{table}
%\clearpage
\noindent
Since $H_1 (x) = \left. \frac{\partial H (x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0}$,
we have
\beql{eq16}
yH(x,y) = x^2 y + (1+xy)^2 H(x,xy) - H(x,0) +x^4 y^2
\left. \frac{\partial H (x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0}~.
\eeq
Differentiating \eqn{eq16} with respect to $y$, and setting $y=0$ implies
\beql{eq17}
H(x,0) = x^2 + x \left. \frac{\partial H(x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0}
+ 2x H(x,0)~.
\eeq
Substituting
$$
x \left. \frac{\partial H(x,y)}{\partial y} \right|_{y=0} =
(1-2x) H(x,0) -x^2$$
into \eqn{eq16} gives
\beql{eq18}
yH(x,y) = (1+xy)^2 H(x,xy) + (x^3 y^2 - 2x^4 y^2 -1)
H(x,0) +x^2 y - x^5 y^2
\eeq
which is the basic relation for $H(x,y)$ we will use.
This is more difficult to analyze than the corresponding
functional equation \eqn{eq8} for $S(x,y)$ but we still can obtain
significant information about its asymptotic behavior.

To begin, from \eqn{eq14} and \eqn{eq18} we have
\begin{eqnarray}
\label{eq19}
(1-2x) H_0 (x) & = & x H_1 (x) + x^2 \nonumber \\
H_1 (x) & = & x^2 (H_2 (x) + 2 H_1 (x) + H_0 (x)) + x^4 H_1 (x) \nonumber \\ [-.09in]
& ~ & \\ [-.09in]
\noalign{\mbox{and for $n \ge 2$,}}
H_n (x) & = & x^{n+1} (H_{n+1} (x) + 2 H_n (x) + H_{n-1} (x)) ~.
\nonumber
\end{eqnarray}
Therefore,
$$
\begin{array}{rll}
H_1 (x) & = & \lt \frac{1-2x}{x} \rt H_0 (x) -x ~, \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
H_2 (x) & = & \lt \frac{1-x^4}{x^2} \rt H_1 (x) - 2 H_1 (x) - H_0 (x) \\
~~ \\ [-.09in]
& = & \df{1}{x^3} (((1-2x^2-x^4) (1-2x)-x^3) H_0 (x) -x^2 (1-2x^2 -x^4)~,
\end{array}
$$
and for $n \ge 3$,
$$
H_n (x) = \frac{1}{x^n} ((1-2x^n) H_{n-1} (x) -x^n H_{n-2} (x))~.
$$
It then follows by induction that
\beql{eq20}
H_n (x) = x^{- {\binom{n+1}{2}}} (q_n (x) H_0 (x) -x^2 p_n (x))
\eeq
where
\begin{eqnarray*}
q_1 (x) & = & 1-2x ~, ~~~ p_1 (x) =1 ~, \\
q_2 (x) & = & (1-2x^2 -x^4) (1-2x)-x^3~, ~~~
p_2 (x) =1 -2x^2 -x^4
\end{eqnarray*}
and for $n \ge 3$,
\beql{eq21}
\begin{array}{rll}
q_n (x) & = & (1-2x^n) q_{n-1} (x) -x^{2n-1} q_{n-2} (x) ~, \\
~~ \\ [-.05in]
p_n (x) & = & (1-2x^n) p_{n-1} (x) - x^{2n-1} p_{n-2} (x)
\end{array}
\eeq
(where we can consider \eqn{eq20} as a formal power series identity).
From \eqn{eq21} we see that
\begin{eqnarray*}
q(x) & = & \lim_{n \to \In} q_n (x) ~, \\
p(x) & = & \lim_{n \to \In} p_n (x)
\end{eqnarray*}
exist as formal power series and that
$$[x^k] q(x) = [x^k] q_n (x)~, ~~~
[x^k] p(x) = [x^k] p_n (x)$$
for $n \ge k+1$.
Note that by \eqn{eq20}, increasing powers of $x$ divide
$q_n (x) H_0 (x) -x^2 p_n (x)$ as $n \to \In$.
Thus, we have
\beql{eq22}
H_0 (x) = \frac{x^2 p(x)}{q(x)}
\eeq
as a formal power series.

From \eqn{eq21} and \eqn{eq22} it now follows
(cf.~\cite{F80}) that
$H_0 (x)$ can be written as the continued fraction
\beql{eq23}
H_0 (x) = \frac{x^2}{1-2x -
\frac{x^3}{1-2x-x^4 -
\frac{x^5}{1-2x^3 -
\frac{x^7}{1-2x^4 -
\frac{x^9}{1-2x^5 -
\frac{x^{11}}{1-2x^6 -\cdots
}}}}}} ~.
\eeq
Although this continued fraction is similar to some studied
by Ramanujan (see \cite{A79}, \cite{S68}), it does not seem to have
appeared in the literature before.

The recurrences \eqn{eq21} imply that $p(x)$ and $q(x)$ are
analytic in the disc
$\{ x:~ |x| < 1 \}$, and so $H_0 (x)$ is
meromorphic for $|x| <1$.
To determine the asymptotic behavior of $H_0 (x)$, we need to look at
the zeros of $q(x)$.
It turns out that in the disc $\{ x:~|x| \le 1/2 \}$, $q(x)$ has only a
simple zero at $\beta_1 = 1/ \af$ where
$\af = 2.321642199494 \dd$~.
This implies
\beql{eq24}
h_0 (k) = [x^k] H_0 (x) = c_1 \af^k + O(2^k)
\eeq
where
$$
c_1 = \frac{- \beta_1 p ( \beta_1)}{q' ( \beta_1)} ~.
$$

In fact, $q(x)$ has zeros of multiplicity one at
$$
\begin{array}{rl@{~}l@{}l}
\beta_1 & = & & 0.430729593 \dd \\
~ \\ [-.09in]
\beta_2 & = & & 0.685754744 \dd \\
~ \\ [-.09in]
\beta_3 & = & - & 0.704352541 \dd \\
~ \\ [-.09in]
\beta_4 & = & & 0.782572917 \dd
\end{array}
$$
and no other zeros in $\{ x:~|x| \le 0.8 \}$.
A more careful analysis shows that \eqn{eq24} can be improved to
\beql{eq25}
h_0 (k) =
\sum_{j=1}^4
\frac{- p ( \beta_j )}{q' ( \beta_j )}
\beta_j^{-k+1} + O ((5/4)^k)~,
\eeq
and even better approximations can be obtained with more
effort.

The basic technique for proving \eqn{eq24} is given,
for example, in \cite{OW88}.
We give a brief sketch here.
To begin, computation shows that $q(x)$ starts as follows:
$$q(x) = 1-2x -2x^2 +x^3 +x^4 + 7x^5 + 2x^6 + 5x^7 -
4x^8 - 7x^9 - 9x^{10} -14x^{11} - \cdots ~.$$
Let
\beql{eq26}
Q(x) = 1-2x -2x^2 + x^3 +x^4 + 7x^5 + \cdots + 46x^{19}
\eeq
consist of the first 20 terms of $q(x)$.
It is not hard to verify that $|Q(x)| \ge 1/20$ for $|x| = 1/2$.
We want to show that $Q_1(x) = q(x) - Q(x)$ is small on $|x| > 1/2$.
For $|x| = 3/4$, computation shows that $| q_5 (x) | \le 10$,
$| q_6 (x) | \le 10$.
By \eqn{eq21},
$$|q_n (x) | \le \lt 1+2 \lt \frac{3}{4} \rt^n \rt |
q_{n-1} (x) | + \lt \frac{3}{4} \rt^{2n-1} |q_{n-2} (x) |~.
$$
Therefore,
\beql{eq27}
|q(x) | \le 30 ~~~\mbox{for}~~~ |x| =3/4~,
\eeq
which implies for $|y| = 1/2$,
$$
\begin{array}{rll}
| Q_1 (y) | & \le & \ds_{m=20}^\In
| [x^m] q(x) | ~|y|^m \\
~~ \\ [-.05in]
& \le & 30 \ds_{m=20}^\In (2/3)^m ~\le~ 90 \lt \df{2}{3} \rt^{20}~.
\end{array}
$$
Thus, $|Q_1 (y)| < |Q(y)|$ for $|y| =1/2$, so by Rouch\'{e}'s
theorem, $Q(y)$ and $q(y)$ have the same number of zeros
in $\{ y : |y| \le 1/2 \}$.
However, direct computation shows that $Q(y)$ has exactly one
zero in this region, and therefore, so does $q(y)$.
Consequently, $\beta_1 = 0.430729593 \dd$ is the only zero of $q(y)$
in $\{ y:~|y| \le 1/2 \}$.

The recurrence \eqn{eq21} also gives an effective method for computing
the other zeros $\beta_j$, as well as the values of $p ( \beta_j )$,
$q' (\beta_j)$ and $c_1 = 0.12268707 \dd$~.

It seems unlikely that there is as simple an expression for
$g(k)$ as the one we have for $f(k)$.
Poles of continued fractions such as that of \eqn{eq23} can seldom be expressed in closed form, and are expected to be usually
transcendental.
There are few rigorous results or methods.
On the other hand, accurate numerical approximations are almost always
easy to obtain.

\section{Some history and acknowledgements}
\hsp
It seems \cite{L92} that the original problem of showing that
$\bigcup\limits_{i=0}^4 L(i)$ is unavoidable appeared as
Question~5 in the Spring 1981 Senior Paper of the Tournament
of the Towns (in the former Soviet Union) where it is attributed to
M. Kontsevich.
The solution was presented at the first World Federation of National
Mathematics Competitions Conference held at the Univ. of Waterloo in 1990. (We are indebted to Andy Liu for this bit of scholarship.)

We would particularly like to thank Martin Gardner for once again
bringing to our attention a beautiful problem which looks deceptively
simple and yet offers interesting challenges.
We thank M. Kontsevich for informing us of the references \cite{K,Kh}.
We are also grateful to H.~Eriksson and D.~E. Knuth for their comments and corrections
to an earlier draft.
\clearpage
\begin{thebibliography}{OW882}
%\bibitem[A79]{A79}
\bibitem{A79}
G. Andrews, An introduction to Ramanujan's
``lost notebook'',
{\em Amer. Math. Monthly 86} (1979), 89--108.
%\bibitem[Bender]{Bender}
\bibitem{Bender}
E.~A. Bender, Asymptotic methods in enumeration,
{\em SIAM Review 16} (1974), 485--515.
%\bibitem[BenW]{BenW}
\bibitem{BenW}
E.~A. Bender and S. G. Williamson,
{\em Foundations of Applied Combinatorics},
Addison-Wesley, 1991.
%\bibitem[F80]{F80}
\bibitem{Erik}
H. Eriksson,
Pebblings, to be published.
\bibitem{F80}
P. Flajolet,
Combinatorial aspects of continued fractions,
{\em Discrete Math. 32} (1980), 125--161.
%\bibitem[G92]{G92}
\bibitem{G92}
Martin Gardner (personal communication).
%\bibitem[GKP]{GKP}
\bibitem{GKP}
R.~L. Graham, D.~E. Knuth, and O. Patashnik,
{\em Concrete Mathematics},
Addison-Wesley, 1989.
%\bibitem[Kh]{Kh}
\bibitem{Kh}
A. Khodulev,
Pebble spreading,
{\em Kvant}. July 1982,
pp.~28--31 and 55.
(In Russian.)
%\bibitem[K]{K}
\bibitem{K}
M. Kontsevich,
Problem M715, {\em Kvant}. Nov. 1981, p.~21.
(In Russian.) 
%\bibitem[L92]{L92}
\bibitem{L92}
Andy Liu (personal communication).
%\bibitem[Morris]{Morris}
\bibitem{Morris}
S. Morris, Counter-intuitive puzzle,
{\em Omni},
April 1993.
(Solution by N. Konstantinov in the August 1993 issue.)
%\bibitem[Od]{Od}
\bibitem{Od}
A.~M. Odlyzko,
Asymptotic enumeration methods, in {\em Handbook of Combinatorics},
R.~L. Graham, M.Gr\"{o}tschel, and L. Lov\'{a}sz,
eds.,
North-Holland, 1993, to appear.
%\bibitem[OW88]{OW88}
\bibitem{OW88}
A.~M. Odlyzko and A.~S. Wilf,
The editor's corner:
$n$ coins in a fountain,
{\em Amer. Math. Monthly 95} (1988), 840--843.
%\bibitem[R92]{R92}
\bibitem{R92}
Harold Reiter (personal communication).
%\bibitem[S68]{S68}
\bibitem{S68}
G. Szekeres,
A combinatorial interpretation of Ramanujan's continued fractions,
{\em Canad. Math. Bull. 11} (1968), 405--408.
\end{thebibliography}
\clearpage
\pagestyle{empty}
\setcounter{figure}{0}
\begin{figure}[htb]
~~ \\
\vspace{+1in}

\centerline{\psfig{file=ch1.ps,width=3in}}
\caption{The starting configuration on the board $B$.}
\end{figure}
\clearpage
\begin{figure}[htb]
~~ \\
\vspace{+.5in}
\centerline{\psfig{file=ch2.ps,width=6in}}
\caption{Reachable configurations with at most four pebbles.}
\end{figure}
\clearpage
\begin{figure}[htb]
\begin{center}
~~ \\
\vspace{+1in}
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